WyomingPBS broadcasts the first official debate of the campaign season on Thursday at Sheridan College. How age-related factors will play into the 2024 US presidential election, and 2022 midterms is still very much up for debate, but that hasnt stopped traders on political betting sites from getting in on the early action. Keep your eye on New Hampshire as a potential Republican flip in the 2022 midterm elections, which could potentially turn the chamber in favor of the conservative party. Statista. What will be the balance of power in Congress after the 2022 election? The major candidates running in this Primary are:-, An overwhelming majority of voters in the state are White, the same is the case in the Republican Primary. Ironically, Trumps absence from public office could be what takes Newsom out. The best advice for people who want to become better forecasters is to be more open-minded and try to be aware of and strip out cognitive biases. CHEYENNE, Wyo. RCP Average & ResultFinal Electoral This will have significant implications for Democrats ahead of the 2022 midterm elections next year. In September, Trump selected Hageman from several challengers as his pick to take on Cheney, one of his biggest political enemies. If Cheney doesnt win the Republican nomination, she can choose to run in the general election as an independent. Just 14% in that poll say they will support Cheney's reelection, while another 31% would weigh who the candidate is. The latest University of Wyoming survey has reported that only 8% of Likely GOP Primary voters are Democrats. The results are in line with prior polling from July showing Sununu ahead of Hassan, 49% to 48%. Independents gave Biden an approval rating of 41%, a two-point drop from a few weeks prior. These numbers may not seem relevant to 2024 presidential election predictions, but if youre a moderate Democrat looking to be re-elected in a purple district, a drop in the presidential approval rating when the president is a member of your party may compel you to change the way you make decisions about how you vote on legislation in order to secure your job for another term. I have absolutely no doubt in my mind that if you told Liz Cheney and Adam Kinzinger 20 months ago that serving on the J6 Committee and voting to impeach Trump would cost them their seats in Congress, they would do it again without hesitation or regret. The Casper Star-Tribune is planning a series of stories tied to its recent poll of likely voters in Wyoming's Republican primary. Apecoin Price Prediction 2023, 2025, and 2030: Will Apecoin reach $100 and $1000? Conflux Price Prediction 2023-30: Will CFX reach $100? New Hampshire Gov. As for the Virginia gubernatorial election, traders are virtually certain thatMcAuliffe will be the Democrats nominee, at 98. Voting intention for 2022 presidential elections in Brazil, by religion, Number of fake statements by Brazilian president Bolsonaro 2019-2022, by month, Share of votes cast in 1st round of 2022 presidential elections Brazil, by candidate, Voting intention for 2022 presidential elections in Brazil, by family income. Do Not Sell or Share My Personal Information. Cheneys vote to impeach the former president after the Jan. 6 attack on the U.S. Capitol and her relentless criticism of Trump as a threat to democracy and the rule of law have spurred the toughest reelection fight of her career. That can transform prediction markets from the theoretical world of usefulness and the practical world of small-time gambling into serious markets that deliver useful information. Former President Donald Trump endorsed State Superintendent of Public Instruction Brian Schroeder in his bid for election to the post. I could easily have done the same But it would have required that I go along with President Trumps lie about the 2020 election That was a path I could not and would not take.. "They hate the fact that she's on the Jan. 6 committe. During the first House Congressional Debate Rep. Liz Cheney stood strong in her rebuke of false election claims on Thursday at Sheridan College. [Liz Cheney]" The Club for. Without citing a source, Trump claimed Cheney has an approval rating of 16%. Common biases in political betting include confirmation bias seeking out information that confirms your pre-existing beliefs and coverage bias, where the media influences our opinion of political topics to the extent to which they are covered. The Newsom recall election is laying bare just how difficult it may be for the party to motivate its base without Trump as a foil heading into the, Even if Newsom is successful, as is expected, the competitiveness of the contest on, Its not just California. Maybe Democrats don't want to see that happen they've done reasonably well in the last two national elections. Only 27 percent approved of Cheney's job performance, while about 66 percent disapproved. Senate: Ratings, Changes . Just 4% of Republicans said they would support Cheney in a hypothetical 2024 contest, her best showing in 10 Morning Consult/Politico surveys asking the question since May 2021. Harriet Hageman, Robyn Belinskey, Liz Cheney, Anthony Bouchard and Denton Knapp, the candidates for Wyoming's U.S. House of Representatives seat, gather at the first official debate of the campaign season on Thursday at Sheridan College. Entry: Global Warming Lorem Ipsum Dolor Sit where Republicans outnumber independents by more than 5 to 1. Republican Rep. Liz Cheneys repeated criticism of former President Donald Trump has made her an enemy of GOP voters nationwide, a trend that continues following her primary defeat in Wyoming last week, according to a new Morning Consult/Politico survey. Senator from Maine (1999 present), Charlie Baker, Governor of Massachusetts (2015 present), Jeb Bush, Governor of Florida (1999 2007), Paul Ryan, US House Speaker (2015 2019), John Boehner, US House Speaker (2011 2015), Donald J Trump, 45th President (2017-2020), Bell Stepien, Donald Trumps campaign manager for the 2020 Presidential Election. In a sign that the falling Biden approval rating isnt directly associated with only his handling of the Afghanistan withdrawal, there are signs that overall approval began to drop shortly after June 21 when there was a strong correlation between the re-emergence of COVID-19 cases and a decline in views of how he was handling the pandemic. During the first House Congressional Debate Rep. Liz Cheney stood strong in her rebuke of false election claims on Thursday at Sheridan College. Liz Cheney Faces Big Trouble in Wyoming Chilton Williamson Jr., The Spectator World September 17, 2021 (AP Photo/Andrew Harnik) Liz Cheney is not Wyoming and never has been, even when it. / Twitter, Secretary of the House Republican Conference, Wyomings at-large congressional district. If she does decide to run in 2024, the survey shows meager appetite among Republican voters, but likely enough support to get her on a debate stage if the GOP uses metrics for qualification as it did in the 2016 nomination contest. Independent voters are far more likely to view Cheney unfavorably (42%) than favorably (27%). Wyoming Republican primary candidate Harriet Hageman is leading incumbent Liz Cheney by nearly 30 points in the primary race for Wyoming's lone seat in the U.S. House of Representatives, according to a new survey by the University of Wyoming's Wyoming Survey and Analysis Center (WYSAC). The BPI is an election forecasting tool that factors in polling averages from RealClearPolitics and share prices on political betting site PredictIt to project the overall chances of an outcome occurring in an election. As of Aug. 20, the BPI gives Newsom recall odds a 40% chance. With a 50-50 split in the Senate, every race in the 2022 midterm elections means the difference between which party will control the upper chamber of Congress and makes for interesting, Democrats currently have de-facto control, with 50 Senators who caucus with the Democrats and the tie-breaking power of Democrat Vice President Kamala Harris. That's because one of. Clearly, Cheney is no Democrat but she may be the most important small-d democrat on the national scene. Two of the other oldest senators,Sen.Chuck Grassley (R-IA) who isalso87, andSen. Patrick Leahy (D-VT)whois81, are also rumored to be considering retirement. Social Media Sentiment Trends: Ethereum vs Cardano vs Solana, Can Solana Reach $5000, $10000? Redistricting will also be a factor since Pennsylvania is one of seven states that will lose a congressional seat, and the resulting impact is expected to have implications for Democrats more so than Republicans. Unlike, Keep your eye on New Hampshire as a potential Republican flip in the 2022 midterm elections, which could potentially turn the chamber in favor of the conservative party. Sixty-six percent view her "very unfavorably." The poll also asked respondents whom they would vote for in the August 16 primary. In a special election in May in a Texas House District Trump carried by just 3% in 2020, the top Democratic candidate failed in a low-turnout contest to even advance from the all-party primary. Gavin Newsom (D) has kicked off an unprecedented campaign to defend himself against a recall attempt that could be the largest voter mobilization effort in state history, but political betting sites and polling shows troubling signs of recall odds showing the race will be too close for comfort for Democrats ahead of the 2022 midterm elections. A timer watches the clock to make sure the candidates don't exceed their limit of ninety seconds during the House Congressional Debate on Thursday at Sheridan College. The reasons why may be about more than money. Denton Knapp, a candidate for Wyoming's U.S. House of Representatives seat, notes from first official debate of the campaign season sit on his podium after the debate on Thursday at Sheridan College. Senator from Louisiana (2015 Present), Jeff Flake, former U.S. Among Democrats, President Bidens approval rating has fallen from 90% to 87% and from 16% to 11% with Republicans. During that time. In other words, wisdom of the forecasting elite. Register in seconds and access exclusive features. Due to safety concerns the general public were not allowed to attend the debate, which was live streamed online. Directly accessible data for 170 industries from 50 countries and over 1 million facts: Get quick analyses with our professional research service. Still, Cheneys opposition to the former president has earned her some backing. Wyoming's historic House race is motivating Democrats and independents to vote Republican like never before, Six in 10 Wyoming Republicans are less likely to vote for Cheney due to her Jan. 6 work. Support for a presidential bid by Florida Gov. As a Premium user you get access to background information and details about the release of this statistic. Stephen Speranza for The New York Times. In 2020 Donald Trump won Wyoming by 43 points, his best state in the nation. Is it too late for the governor to mobilize enough support to bring the odds back in his favor? Liz Cheney is certain to lose the primary and is unlikely to win more than 35% of the vote. There was a problem saving your notification. The Newsom recall election is laying bare just how difficult it may be for the party to motivate its base without Trump as a foil heading into the 2022 midterms. Ironically, Trumps absence from public office could be what takes Newsom out. SSV Price Prediction 2023-2030, Dash 2 Trade Price Prediction 2023-2030: Will D2Trade reach $10. They may not be able to survive a primary without Trumps support (or at least not his ire), but that loyalty could kill them in a general election. It was performed from July 7 to July 11 shortly after early voting began here. Please subscribe to keep reading. Betting markets in Europe andones like PredictItin the US show Vice President Kamala Harris winning the 2024USpresidential election over both President Joe Biden and former President Donald Trump,who is expected to be the Republican nominee if he decides to run). With a 50-50 split in the Senate, every race in the 2022 midterm elections means the difference between which party will control the upper chamber of Congress and makes for interesting political betting odds on races across the country. using their voting records in Congress, Ms Stefanik earns a rating of 0.23. Polling Data. In a state where Republicans outnumber independents by more than 5 to 1, the odds might seem slim that she could win, but success is not impossible. Anybody whos credible, who ran to the right of Liz Cheney would probably win this race with or without Donald Trump.. So, while the 2024 presidential election may not be impacted by Bidens approval rating today, there are serious implications for the Democratic Party in the 2022 midterm election and will change election predictions down the ticket. Harriet Hageman, a candidate for the U.S. House of Representatives, responds to one of the questions during the House Congressional Debate on Thursday at Sheridan College. ANBC News poll last month foundthat Trumps favorability rating was down to 32% among all voters and 14% among independents. Harriet Hageman, a candidate for the U.S. House of Representatives, leaves right after the House Congressional Debate without responding to questions from reporters on Thursday at Sheridan College. Embattled Rep. Liz Cheney's position on charges President Donald Trump played a role in the Jan. 6 Capitol riot has not turned around her negative ratings back home in Wyoming, and now she's on the verge of losing her reelection. You have permission to edit this article. Right now should be an easy time for the party out of power to unify in opposition, but Republican leaders and potential, We can look to Virginias Republican nominating convention last weekend for a look at how this dynamic could play out over and over again between now and the, Pennsylvania Lt. Gov. 70% of registered voters in Wyoming are Republicans. There are other polls that put Biden's net approval rating closer to 49% or as low as 41% in the Afghanistan aftermath. Men were especially critical of Cheneys performance: Only one in five approved of the job shes doing. Cheney and Hageman used to be friendly, something that Cheney plastered on a billboard on a major highway coming into Casper this spring. In the latest Mason Dixon Liz Cheney Poll among likely primary voters in Wyoming, only 27% approved of Liz Cheneys performance. Eli Yokley is a senior data reporter at Morning Consult covering politics and campaigns. This is important because incumbent status gives candidates a significant advantage in elections. Notably, weve seen a plunge in the strong support for Biden among Democrats. Both parties, and special interest groups on each side, have already been pouring money into attack ads in the Granite State more than a year ahead of the midterm elections, impacting voter opinions of both Hassan and Sununu, who Democrats see as the biggest threat should he decide to get in the race. Crowdwisdom compiles polls from all sources but unlike RCP or 538 retains only recent polls. No other challenger received more than 5% support. {{start_at_rate}} {{format_dollars}} {{start_price}} {{format_cents}} {{term}}, {{promotional_format_dollars}}{{promotional_price}}{{promotional_format_cents}} {{term}}, The truth matters," Cheney said multiple times. Sign up for our newsletter to keep reading. Liz Cheney: Right-Wing Icon, Trump Critic Private Citizen? , there will be plenty of opportunities on political betting sites to make a few bucks (or more!) Wyoming gave Donald Trump his single biggest win among all the states in 2020, with 70% of the voters casting their ballots for the 45th president. She also frequently touts her history of fighting the federal government in court. Embattled Rep. Liz Cheney's position on charges President Donald Trump played a role in the Jan. 6 Capitol riot has not turned around her negative ratings back home in Wyoming, and now she's. Solana Price Prediction Today. Bouchard was the first to challenge Cheney, but his campaign faltered after he admitted in May 2021 that he impregnated a 14-year-old girl when he was 18. There are other ongoing factors that may have also contributed to this shift in numbers, such as the economy and pandemic recovery, but it remains to be seen what, if any, impact it will all have on 2022 election predictions and beyond. There are other ongoing factors that may have also contributed to this shift in numbers, such as the economy and pandemic recovery, but it remains to be seen what, if any, impact it will all have on 2022 election predictions and beyond. "And the claims that Ms. Hageman is making about the 2020 election are the same claims for which the president's lead lawyer, Rudy Giuliani, was disbarred. Thats why Newsom is encouraging voters to check no on the first question asking if voters would like to remove him from office and leave the second question blank. Harriet Hageman supporters gather outside of the House Congressional Debate since only the media and candidates guests were allowed inside the debate on Thursday at Sheridan College. (October 19, 2022). Many representatives, including House Minority Leader Kevin McCarthy (R-CA), who lobbied for Stefanik ahead of this mornings vote, believe that removing a staunch Trump critic from her leadership role was the only way forward if Republicans hope to take the majority in the 2022 midterms. The best way to improve your accuracy is by reducing bias and noise, and increasing the information you take in. In total, the at-large Wyoming congresswoman suffers a net-negative 36 percent favorability rating - a stark contrast to Trump's in the state with a net-positive of 60 percent. Still, polls show that support for Elder is around 20% by far the highest polling alternative in the race. If Bidens approval rating holds. Sun Token Price Prediction 2023, 2025 and 2030: Can SUN Reach $1? For example, Cheney leads the most in the Jackson Hole region, a county that Joe Biden won in 2020 by a huge margin. Tim Murtaugh is the second Hageman political adviser whose words have been featured at a Jan. 6 committee hearing. Access to this and all other statistics on 80,000 topics from, Show sources information The term principled Republican is quickly becoming an oxymoron in the post-Trump GOP, but Liz Cheney still fits the bill. In a special election in May in a Texas House District Trump carried by just 3% in 2020, the top Democratic candidate failed in a low-turnout contest to even advance from the all-party primary. Republican voters approve of their party's sacking of Liz Cheney . RCP Election 2010. The M Logo and MORNING CONSULT are registered trademarks of Morning Consult Holdings, Inc. Republican Rep. Liz Cheneys repeated criticism of former President Donald Trump has made her an enemy of GOP voters nationwide, a trend that continues following her primary defeat in Wyoming last week, according to a new. Rep. Liz Cheney listens to fellow candidate Anthony Bouchard respond to a question about vaccine mandates during the House Congressional Debate on Thursday at Sheridan College. Cheney does better among women, younger people and those who've spent less time in Wyoming, the poll shows. The Democratic side is also expected to be contentious, with Lt. Gov John Fetterman, state Rep. Malcolm Kenyatta and Montgomery County Commissioner Val Arkoosh already declared. Harriet Hageman greets a supporter outside of the first House Congressional Debate before heading inside on Thursday at Sheridan College. The Club for Growth PAC poll of 400 likely Wyoming GOP primary voters found 52% back Cheney's opposition, regardless who runs. This is a concern Republicans are facing as they attempt to challenge Democratic-held Senate seats in Arizona and Georgia, as well as hold onto Pennsylvania. Small business owner Robyn Belinskey and retired army colonel Denton Knapp each polled at 1%. Chris Sununu hasnt yet announced his candidacy as a 2022 Senate challenger to incumbent Sen. Maggie Hassan (D), but according to new polling if he was to run the two would start the race in a dead heat. And in a recent Connecticut election, a Republican won a special election for a state Senate seat in a district Biden carried by 20% in 2020. learn more about, It is unusual for an incumbentpresident to lose re-election if he runs again especially to thevicepresident but thats exactly what political betting markets are saying about the 2024USpresidential election. Learn more about how Statista can support your business. And in a recent Connecticut election, a Republican won a special election for a state Senate seat in a district Biden carried by 20% in 2020. learn more about political betting odds at Predictit.org. Members of the presidents party really like him and members of the opposition really dont. You can translate your new knowledge on the Granite State 2022 senate race into real money on the. Weve already seen this dynamic play out in 2018 in South Carolina and 2020 in Colorado, and with partisan tensions even more heightened theres no reason to expect next year will be different. Wyoming voters handed Rep. Liz Cheney (R-WY) a woefully low approval rating heading into the August 16 Republican primary contest against former President Donald Trump-endorsed Harriet Hageman, a Casper Star-Tribune /Mason-Dixon poll revealed on Friday. Newsoms fate rides entirely on turnout. Democratic ResultsDemocratic More than a year out from the midterm elections, its impossible to know for sure how to make 2022 election predictions or even 2024 presidential election predictions based on Biden approval rating rcp. Harriet Hageman supporters gather outside of the House Congressional Debate in support of Hageman and against Cheney on Thursday at Sheridan College. SLP Price Prediction 2023-2030: Will SLP reach $1? Linda Chavez served in the Reagan White House and writes frequently on race, ethnicity and immigration. To be most effective on political betting sites like PredictIt, you need to be able to filter out the noise and seek out information. Both incumbent senators who have endorsed Cheney voted to impeach Trump. Which party will win the 2021 Virginia gubernatorial election? While 69% of registered Democrats who plan to participate in the GOP primary are supporting Cheney, that level of support still leaves her trailing Hageman by a wide margin. More importantly, she has become the most powerful voice on the Jan. 6 committee investigating the attack on our democracy and the Democratic leadership in the House knows it. While only 15. Public polling firm Morning Consult found that amid the American withdrawal from Afghanistan and the collapse of the Afghan military and government, 49% now say they disapprove of Biden. Profit from the additional features of your individual account. Liz Cheney has been polling around the 30% level over multiple polls suggesting that she is likely to lose BIG in Wyoming. They have been eager to embrace her when she speaks out against the flagrant falsehoods perpetrated by members of her own party; now its time they take steps to ensure she continues to have a platform to do so. 2022 Wyoming House Race Polls: Latest Voter Registration as of October 31, 2021. Both polls were funded by Hageman-backed groups. She was born and raised on a family ranch outside of Fort Laramie and attended the University of Wyoming for undergraduate and law school. Traders are banking on a split Congress after 2022s midterm elections. Republicans gained slightly this week following the partys nominating convention, likely a small showing of confidence in their pick, butoverall Democrats are heavily favored to win the governors seat at 82 to Republicans 22. And the question is whether youre on board with democracy or not, said Jane Ifland, a two-time Democratic candidate for statehouse and a pro-abortion activist whos lived in Casper since 1980. Hageman: Liz Cheney is a Proven, Courageous Constitutional Conservative. The best advice for people who want to become better forecasters is to be more open-minded and try to be aware of and strip out cognitive biases. With so many federal and state elections happening in the. Republicans are a majority of all voters in all but 2 counties in the state. Obama Job Approval Congressional Job Approval . BREAKING: Liz Cheney SLAMS Ted Cruz for lacking principle, calling him a chameleon who will say anything, anytime.RT if you agree with Liz Cheney! Cheneys principles arent at risk, but her ability to be reelected in Trumps Republican Party is. To use individual functions (e.g., mark statistics as favourites, set October 19, 2022. One of theSenates oldest members, Sen. Richard Shelby(R-AL),who is 87-years-old,has announced hes retiring at the end of his current term. Therefore, the probability of Cheney winning 30% of the Republican vote and a large proportion of the Democratic party and Independent vote is much higher than her winning more than 35% of the vote in the Primary. But why should they? The best of the best: the portal for top lists & rankings: Strategy and business building for the data-driven economy: Industry-specific and extensively researched technical data (partially from exclusive partnerships). This statistic is not included in your account. 32% of those who intend to vote for Harriet Hageman are doing so because they support Hageman (University of Wyoming Survey) while 40% vote for Hageman because they oppose Liz Cheney, While Cheney appears to be outperforming amongst women, there is an overall sense of betrayal amongst Wyoming GOP voters that has become very difficult for Cheney to overcome, Only about 70k of 260k Wyoming voters voted for Joe Biden in 2020. More than a year out from the midterm elections, its impossible to know for sure how to make 2022 election predictions or even 2024 presidential election. The anti-Cheney crowd supports moving the party leadership firmly in support of former President Donald Trump while pivoting attention away from the Jan. 6 attack on the Capitol and toward becoming a united front against President Joe Bidens agenda. To learn more about betting odds gamesbetting.us. @eyokley, Download Fastest Growing Brands 2022 Report, Rep. Liz Cheney (R-Wyo.) Once a politician gets to a certain point, theres a point of no return, Coker said. Surveys conducted in 2022 among at least 603 Republican voters each, with unweighted margins of error of +/-4 percentage points. Stacks Price Prediction 2023: Will STX reach $100? Presidential approval ratings also offer an insight into how the midterms will turn out. This gives the reader a better idea of the latest situation. (renews at {{format_dollars}}{{start_price}}{{format_cents}}/month + tax). Hageman has a commanding lead over incumbent Rep. Liz Cheney, a new poll shows. Even if Newsom is successful, as is expected, the competitiveness of the contest on political betting sites and seen in other polling is the latest indicator that turnout gains made by Democrats nationally during the Trump era may be unsustainable. Who will win the 2024 Republican presidential nomination? Only 11% of voters were undecided. During that time, How age-related factors will play into the. She's fighting Donald Trump. Her favorability rating is lower among independents than Trumps (33%). And the last time the seat witnessed a competitive election was in 2006. Some 44% of Republicans said they are more . The latest Morning Consult/Politico survey was conducted Aug. 19-21, 2022, among a representative sample of 2,005 registered voters, with an unweighted margin of error of plus or minus 2 percentage points. "The truth matters," Cheney said multiple times. Public polling firm Morning Consult found that amid the American withdrawal from Afghanistan and the collapse of the Afghan military and government, 49% now say they disapprove of Biden. Just over half of all primary voters have a favorable opinion of Hageman, the poll shows. At this time last week, 53.4 percent approved and 40.0 percent disapproved (a net approval rating of +13.3 points). Still, election betting sites like PredictIt, the stock market for politics, gives users a platform to make real money off of their wisdom the more informed and accurate their predictions, the more accurate the markets and the more money they can make. Trump-endorsed Harriet Hageman leads Rep. Liz Cheney 52% to 30% in the first independent, . This . Among the 10 Republicans who voted to impeach Trump, two (Adam Kinzinger and Anthony Gonzalez) have already announced their retirements and a third (Fred Upton) is still wavering in the face of likely defeat in their respective primaries. This race is more about Liz Cheney than it is about Donald Trump, Coker said. Favorability of Congresswoman Liz Cheney among U.S. adults, as of October 2022 [Graph]. This is simple on its face, but complicated when you take into account all of the different factors that go into a multi-faceted decision like making 2022 midterm election predictions. And those numbers are narrowing just three months ago Hassan led Bolduc by 10%, with 51% to 41%. Both parties, and special interest groups on each side, have already been pouring money into attack ads in the Granite State more than a year ahead of the midterm elections, impacting voter opinions of both Hassan and Sununu, who Democrats see as the biggest threat should he decide to get in the race. Another poll from the Club for Growth puts Hageman at 56% over Cheney at 26%. Poll Date Sample Fake news, political information and social media, Facebook: quarterly number of MAU (monthly active users) worldwide 2008-2022, Quarterly smartphone market share worldwide by vendor 2009-2022, Number of apps available in leading app stores Q3 2022, Profit from additional features with an Employee Account. SoCo Strategies said a poll it conducted in December showed support for Cheney among 18.8% of those questioned, compared to 38.6% who supported Harriet Hageman, who has won Trump's endorsement in her bid to unseat Cheney. Fetterman still leads with 66 to Lambs 34 as of Thursday. Before jumping into the race with Trumps endorsement in tow, Hageman, a well-known attorney, ran for governor in 2018 and finished third with 21% of the vote.
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